We all know that Olivia Rodrigo is headed for a big night at the 64th annual Grammy Awards, which will be held at Staples Center in Los Angeles on January 31, 2022. She is an overwhelming favorite to win as best new artist and is the clear front-runner to win record and song of the year for her widely admired smash “drivers license.”
That song spent eight consecutive weeks at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 and also topped Billboard’s list of the 50 Best Songs of 2021 So Far: Staff Picks, where Rania Aniftos called Rodrigo “pop’s most captivating new storyteller” and noted: “With just one song, Rodrigo proved herself as a compelling vocalist and a songwriter well beyond her years.”
Rodrigo is also likely to be nominated for album of the year for her debut, Sour. The album is currently in its fourth nonconsecutive week at No. 1 on the Billboard 200. That’s one of the three longest stays in the top spot of any album released in this eligibility period (Sept. 1, 2020 to Sept. 30, 2021). The others are Morgan Wallen’s Dangerous: The Double Album (10 weeks) and Taylor Swift’s Evermore (also four weeks). Sour also made history as the first debut album to contain two songs that entered the Hot 100 at No. 1 — “drivers license” and “good 4 u.”
Sour was included on Billboard’s unranked list of the 50 Best Albums of 2021 So Far: Staff Picks. Writing about the album, Josh Glickman was impressed by Rodrigo’s songwriting. (She wrote or co-wrote all 11 songs on the album.) He observed: “From its starkest lyrics of insecurity to its most biting one-liners, her songwriting prowess is on full display throughout.”
Sour has a solid 83 rating at Metacritic.com, the review aggregation site.
Rodrigo is also likely to benefit from the Grammys’ long history of favoring young, female singer/songwriter breakout stars in the top categories. This dates back to Bobbie Gentry, who wrote and recorded the haunting 1967 smash “Ode to Billie Joe.” Gentry, 23 at the time, was the first artist to be nominated in each of the Big Four categories in the same year.
Other young female singer/songwriters – Tracy Chapman, Mariah Carey, India.Arie, Amy Winehouse and Billie Eilish – have since matched that feat. Other young women who have scored big at the Grammys over the years (even though that particular feat eluded them) include Alanis Morissette, Lauryn Hill, Swift, Norah Jones and Lorde. Rodrigo has been compared to several of these winning artists for her music and artistry.
With all this going for it, Sour could win album of the year. That would make Rodrigo just the third artist in Grammy history – following Christopher Cross and Eilish – to sweep the Big Four awards in one night. Even if she loses album of the year and winds up with “just” three of the Big Four awards, she’ll still be in very good company.